Longford Town vs UCD prediction
Ireland – First Division · Semi-finals34%125%X41%2
Our tipUCD not to lose66%@1.36✓
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 57%
- BTTSYes · 60%
- Expected goals2.96
Probabilities
Pred.: UCD to winExpected goals: 2.96 (Longford Town 1.40 · UCD 1.56)
Correct score
- 1:111%
- 1:29%
- 0:18%
- 2:18%
- 1:07%
- 0:26%Final score
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctUCD to win1 34%X 25%2 41%Odds 2.33 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 2.5✗ wrongOver 2.5 goalsUnder 43%Over 57%Odds 1.75 · Pinnacle
BTTS✗ wrongBoth teams to scoreNo 40%Yes 60%Odds 1.62 · Bet365
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 59%12 75%X2 66%Odds 1.33 · William Hill
First half✗ wrongFirst half: Draw1 28%X 40%2 32%Odds 2.40 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 20%Over 80%Odds 1.23 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 66%Over 34%Odds 1.48 · Pinnacle
HT/FT✓ correctUCD / UCD2/2 24%1/1 20%X/X 14%Odds 3.81 · SBO
Correct score✗ wrong1:21:2 9%
Match preview
UCD are favourites away from home with a 41% chance to win, against 34% for Longford Town and 25% for a draw. At home Longford Town score 1.4 goals per game on average, while UCD score 1.7 away. The model expects about 3.0 goals in total. In their last five league games Longford Town have won 3 and UCD 2. Our pick: UCD to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, both teams to score: 60%.
Match events
- 27′⚽ L. Dignam
- 29′🟨 J. Bailey
- 34′🟨 J. Hough
- 36′🟨 D. Kavanagh
- 52′🟨 P. Manuel
- 71′⇄ C. Akinrintayo
- 75′⇄ P. Manuel
- 76′⇄ J. Bailey
- 76′⇄ A. Doran
- 77′⚽ H. Smith
- 82′⇄ M. McCullagh
- 83′⇄ J. Goad
- 87′⇄ A. O'Brien
- 87′⇄ S. Moore
- 90′⇄ S. Murphy
- 90+1′🟨 S. Norval
Form (last 5)
Longford TownWWDDW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Away | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Total | 1.4 | 1.3 |
UCDLLWDW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Away | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Total | 1.9 | 1.4 |
Comparison
Longford TownUCD61%Form39%
40%Attack60%
69%Defence31%
51%Poisson49%
38%Head to head62%
40%Goals60%
49%Total50%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
1WinsLongford Town4Draws
5WinsUCDIn the last 10 meetings, UCD won 5, Longford Town won 1 and 4 ended in a draw.
- 2.2Goals per match
- 4 of 10Over 2.5
- 6 of 10Both teams scored
- 09.10.2026First DivisionUCD1:1Longford Town
- 04.07.2026First DivisionLongford Town2:1UCD
- 01.05.2026First DivisionUCD2:0Longford Town
- 07.03.2026First DivisionLongford Town0:0UCD
- 12.09.2025First DivisionUCD2:1Longford Town
- 28.06.2025First DivisionLongford Town0:2UCD
- 09.05.2025First DivisionUCD1:1Longford Town
- 12.04.2025First DivisionLongford Town0:1UCD
- 18.10.2024First DivisionUCD2:2Longford Town
- 27.07.2024First DivisionLongford Town1:2UCD
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cork City | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | +39 | 75 |
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | +16 | 56 |
| 3 |  Bray Wanderers | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | +14 | 54 |
| 4 |  Kerry FC | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | +4 | 52 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | +3 | 52 |
| 6 |  Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 49 |
| 7 |  Athlone Town | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | -1 | 48 |
| 8 |  Wexford | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | -14 | 42 |
| 9 |  Treaty United | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | -16 | 42 |
| 10 |  Finn Harps | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -37 | 28 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
