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Independiente vs Boca Juniors prediction

Argentina – Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina – Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura – 14
IndependienteIndependiente
0:1 (0:0)
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
26%129%X45%2
Our tipBoca Juniors to win45%@2.19✓
  • Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 · 62%
  • BTTSNo · 56%
  • Expected goals2.22
· Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires

Probabilities

1 · 26%X · 29%2 · 45%
Pred.: Boca Juniors to winExpected goals: 2.22 (Independiente 0.92 · Boca Juniors 1.30)

Correct score

  1. 0:114%Final score
  2. 1:113%
  3. 0:011%
  4. 1:010%
  5. 0:29%
  6. 1:29%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2✓ correctBoca Juniors to win1 26%X 29%2 45%Odds 2.19 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctUnder 2.5 goalsUnder 62%Over 38%Odds 1.55 · Pinnacle
BTTS✓ correctNot both teams to scoreNo 56%Yes 44%Odds 1.73 · Betfair
Double chance✓ correctBoca Juniors not to lose1X 55%12 71%X2 74%Odds 1.29 · Betano
First half✓ correctFirst half: Draw1 21%X 47%2 32%Odds 2.08 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5✗ wrongOver 1.5 goalsUnder 35%Over 65%Odds 1.52 · Betano
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 81%Over 19%Odds 1.20 · Pinnacle
HT/FT✗ wrongBoca Juniors / Boca Juniors2/2 26%X/X 19%X/2 17%Odds 3.50 · Bet365
Correct score✓ correct0:10:1 14%

Match preview

Boca Juniors are favourites away from home with a 45% chance to win, against 26% for Independiente and 29% for a draw. At home Independiente score 1.3 goals per game on average, while Boca Juniors score 1.6 away. The model expects about 2.2 goals in total. In their last five league games Independiente have won 1 and Boca Juniors 4. Our pick: Boca Juniors to win, likely score 0:1. Over 2.5 goals: 38%, both teams to score: 44%.

Match events

  • 20′🟨 Lautaro Di Lollo
  • 45+1′🟨 Iván Marcone
  • 53′🟨 Chimy Ávila
  • 60′⇄ Alan Velasco
  • 64′🟨 Mateo Pérez Curci
  • 66′⇄ Miguel Merentiel
  • 67′🟨 Milton Delgado
  • 69′⇄ Josias Palais
  • 77′🟨 Facundo Ezequiel Herrera
  • 77′⇄ Maximiliano Meza
  • 78′⇄ Mateo Pérez Curci
  • 81′⇄ Leonel Flores
  • 86′⇄ Chimy Ávila
  • 86′⇄ Santiago Gabriel Montiel
  • 88′⚽ Facundo Ezequiel Herrera (Sebastián Villa)
  • 90+2′🟨 Malcon Braida

Form (last 5)

Independiente
DWLDD
Goals +Goals −
Home1.31.3
Away1.21.1
Total1.21.2
Boca Juniors
WWWDW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.40.6
Away1.61.1
Total1.50.9

Comparison

IndependienteBoca Juniors
32%
Form
68%
29%
Attack
71%
36%
Defence
64%
36%
Poisson
64%
50%
Head to head
50%
40%
Goals
60%
37%
Total
62%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2WinsIndependiente
6Draws
2WinsBoca Juniors

In the last 10 meetings, Independiente won 2, Boca Juniors won 2 and 6 ended in a draw.

  • 1.9Goals per match
  • 3 of 10Over 2.5
  • 5 of 10Both teams scored
  1. 11.04.2026Liga Profesional ArgentinaBoca Juniors1:1Independiente
  2. 20.05.2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaBoca Juniors0:1Independiente
  3. 14.12.2024Liga Profesional ArgentinaBoca Juniors0:0Independiente
  4. 29.07.2023Liga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente0:2Boca Juniors
  5. 08.01.2023Friendlies ClubsBoca Juniors0:0Independiente
  6. 23.10.2022Liga Profesional ArgentinaBoca Juniors2:2Independiente
  7. 27.02.2022Liga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente2:2Boca Juniors
  8. 25.11.2021Liga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente1:0Boca Juniors
  9. 29.03.2021Liga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente1:1Boca Juniors
  10. 20.12.2020Liga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente1:2Boca Juniors

Standings

Apertura – Group A

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231
2 Boca Juniors1686222:9+1330
3 Velez Sarsfield1677218:12+628
4 Talleres Cordoba1675417:13+426
5 Independiente1666424:20+424
6 Lanus1666418:15+324
7 San Lorenzo1657414:14022
8 Union Santa Fe1656524:20+421
9 Instituto Cordoba1663717:17021
10 Defensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319
11 Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819
12 Platense1637610:15-516
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016
14 Newells Old Boys1636715:27-1215
15 Deportivo Riestra161875:12-711

Clausura – Group A

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Instituto Cordoba1392220:10+1029
2 Velez Sarsfield1476123:13+1027
3 Boca Juniors1476122:14+827
4 Defensa Y Justicia1483320:13+727
5 Lanus1473417:10+724
6 Newells Old Boys1456313:10+321
7 Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120
8 Independiente1454512:14-219
9 San Lorenzo145367:12-518
10 Union Santa Fe1452721:23-217
11 Estudiantes L.P.1442817:18-114
12 Platense1435614:20-614
13 Deportivo Riestra1326510:13-312
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago1424811:23-1210
15 Talleres Cordoba1423913:22-99

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.