Flamengo vs Atletico-MG prediction
Brazil – Serie A · Regular Season – 32Probabilities
Pred.: Flamengo to winCorrect score: 2:1Expected goals: 3.08 (Flamengo 2.25 · Atletico-MG 0.83)
Other likely scores: 2:0 12% · 1:0 11% · 3:0 9%
Predictions by market
1X2Flamengo to win1 70%X 18%2 12%Odds 1.36
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 40%Over 60%Odds 1.57
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 50%Yes 50%Odds 1.80
Double chanceFlamengo not to lose1X 88%12 82%X2 30%Odds 1.08
First halfFirst half: Flamengo1 51%X 36%2 13%Odds 1.80
Odds: Bet365
Match preview
Flamengo are favourites here with a 70% chance to win, against 12% for Atletico-MG and 18% for a draw. At home Flamengo score 1.9 goals per game on average, while Atletico-MG score 1.0 away. The model expects about 3.1 goals in total. In their last five league games Flamengo have won 4 and Atletico-MG 3. Our pick: Flamengo to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, both teams to score: 50%.
Form (last 5)
FlamengoWWDWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Away | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Total | 2.0 | 0.8 |
Atletico-MGDWDWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Away | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Total | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Comparison
FlamengoAtletico-MG54%Form46%
59%Attack41%
50%Defence50%
72%Poisson28%
62%Head to head38%
70%Goals30%
61%Total38%
Head to head
| 27.04.2026 | Serie A | Atletico-MG | 0:4 | Flamengo |
| 26.11.2025 | Serie A | Atletico-MG | 1:1 | Flamengo |
| 06.08.2025 | Copa Do Brasil | Atletico-MG | 0:1 | Flamengo |
| 01.08.2025 | Copa Do Brasil | Flamengo | 0:1 | Atletico-MG |
| 28.07.2025 | Serie A | Flamengo | 1:0 | Atletico-MG |
| 13.11.2024 | Serie A | Flamengo | 0:0 | Atletico-MG |
| 10.11.2024 | Copa Do Brasil | Atletico-MG | 0:1 | Flamengo |
| 03.11.2024 | Copa Do Brasil | Flamengo | 3:1 | Atletico-MG |
| 04.07.2024 | Serie A | Atletico-MG | 2:4 | Flamengo |
| 29.11.2023 | Serie A | Flamengo | 0:3 | Atletico-MG |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | +32 | 66 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 53 |
| 4 |  Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 51 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | +1 | 42 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | +3 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 |  Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 33 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -15 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+