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FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge prediction

Switzerland – Challenge LeagueSwitzerland – Challenge League · Regular Season – 11
FC AarauFC Aarau
1:2 (1:0)
Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge
55%122%X23%2
Our tipFC Aarau to win55%@1.80✗
  • Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 63%
  • BTTSYes · 62%
  • Expected goals3.25
· , Aarau

Probabilities

1 · 55%X · 22%2 · 23%
Pred.: FC Aarau to winExpected goals: 3.25 (FC Aarau 2.00 · Étoile Carouge 1.25)

Correct score

  1. 2:110%
  2. 1:110%
  3. 2:08%
  4. 1:08%
  5. 3:17%
  6. 2:26%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2✗ wrongFC Aarau to win1 55%X 22%2 23%Odds 1.80 · Betano
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 37%Over 63%Odds 1.50 · Bet365
BTTS✓ correctBoth teams to scoreNo 38%Yes 62%Odds 1.50 · William Hill
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 77%12 78%X2 45%Odds 1.25 · William Hill
First half✓ correctFirst half: FC Aarau1 41%X 37%2 22%Odds 2.32 · Betano
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 16%Over 84%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 59%Over 41%Odds –
HT/FT✗ wrongFC Aarau / FC Aarau1/1 34%X/1 17%2/2 13%
Correct score✗ wrong2:12:1 10%

Match preview

FC Aarau are favourites here with a 55% chance to win, against 23% for Étoile Carouge and 22% for a draw. At home FC Aarau score 2.0 goals per game on average, while Étoile Carouge score 0.5 away. The model expects about 3.3 goals in total. In their last five league games FC Aarau have won 1 and Étoile Carouge 0. Our pick: FC Aarau to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, both teams to score: 62%.

Match events

  • 2′⚽ H. Koide (B. Senyurt)
  • 26′🟨 L. Essiena
  • 31′🟨 B. Senyurt
  • 46′⇄ B. Senyurt
  • 46′⇄ T. Escorza
  • 54′⇄ H. Koide
  • 62′🟨 I. Aliu
  • 65′⚽ M. Holcbecher
  • 68′🟨 Ricardo Alves
  • 75′⇄ I. Aliu
  • 80′⇄ M. Holcbecher
  • 80′⇄ S. Bossiwa
  • 82′⚽ O. Correia (Ricardo Alves)
  • 85′⇄ M. Guindo
  • 85′⇄ M. Dickenmann
  • 90′⇄ Ricardo Alves

Line-ups

FC Aarau
Étoile Carouge

Substitutes

  • 38M. Frei
  • 24T. Arkovic
  • 23E. Jordan85′
  • 27L. Obexer46′
  • 15S. Muller
  • 20K. Ndau75′
  • 80A. Beka Beka54′
  • 16A. Bizzarri85′
  • 28D. Coric

CoachBrunello Iacopetta

Substitutes

  • 1M. Diallo
  • 22G. Zrankeon90′
  • 99M. Tsoungui
  • 2D. Neves
  • 6M. El Jaouhari80′
  • 17O. Sene
  • 59O. Renovales
  • 7O. Correia46′
  • 11T. Nunez80′

CoachPedro Nogueira

Form (last 5)

FC Aarau
DWDLL
Goals +Goals −
Home2.01.4
Away1.02.2
Total1.51.8
Étoile Carouge
LDLLL
Goals +Goals −
Home1.01.0
Away0.52.0
Total0.81.4

Comparison

FC AarauÉtoile Carouge
83%
Form
17%
82%
Attack
18%
52%
Defence
48%
79%
Poisson
21%
60%
Head to head
40%
53%
Goals
47%
68%
Total
31%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

5WinsFC Aarau
1Draws
4WinsÉtoile Carouge

In the last 10 meetings, FC Aarau won 5, Étoile Carouge won 4 and one ended in a draw.

  • 3.0Goals per match
  • 8 of 10Over 2.5
  • 6 of 10Both teams scored
  1. 24.07.2026Challenge LeagueÉtoile Carouge3:0FC Aarau
  2. 07.04.2026Challenge LeagueFC Aarau1:3Étoile Carouge
  3. 06.03.2026Challenge LeagueÉtoile Carouge0:3FC Aarau
  4. 12.12.2025Challenge LeagueFC Aarau2:1Étoile Carouge
  5. 26.09.2025Challenge LeagueÉtoile Carouge1:3FC Aarau
  6. 16.05.2025Challenge LeagueÉtoile Carouge1:3FC Aarau
  7. 28.03.2025Challenge LeagueFC Aarau2:2Étoile Carouge
  8. 05.12.2024Schweizer CupFC Aarau0:1Étoile Carouge
  9. 01.11.2024Challenge LeagueÉtoile Carouge2:1FC Aarau
  10. 24.08.2024Challenge LeagueFC Aarau1:0Étoile Carouge

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1174020:3+1725
2 Yverdon Sport1164121:11+1022
3 FC Winterthur1163223:11+1221
4 Neuchatel Xamax FC1151515:17-216
5 SC Kriens1143419:17+215
6 FC Aarau1133516:20-412
7 Étoile Carouge1133510:15-512
8 Rapperswil1132617:21-411
9 FC WIL 19001125418:24-611
10 Stade Nyonnais111288:28-205

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.