Cumbayá vs El Nacional prediction
Ecuador – Liga Pro Serie B · Relegation Group – 965%119%X16%2
Our tipCumbayá to win65%@1.50✓
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 61%
- BTTSYes · 55%
- Expected goals3.17
Probabilities
Pred.: Cumbayá to winExpected goals: 3.17 (Cumbayá 2.19 · El Nacional 0.98)
Correct score
- 2:010%
- 2:110%Final score
- 1:09%
- 1:19%
- 3:07%
- 3:17%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctCumbayá to win1 65%X 19%2 16%Odds 1.50 · William Hill
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 39%Over 61%Odds 1.65 · Bet365
BTTS✓ correctBoth teams to scoreNo 45%Yes 55%Odds 1.67 · William Hill
Double chance✓ correctCumbayá not to lose1X 84%12 81%X2 35%Odds 1.14 · William Hill
First half✓ correctFirst half: Cumbayá1 48%X 36%2 16%Odds 2.10 · Bet365
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 18%Over 82%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 61%Over 39%Odds –
HT/FT✓ correctCumbayá / Cumbayá1/1 43%X/1 19%X/X 11%
Correct score✓ correct2:12:1 10%
Match preview
Cumbayá are favourites here with a 65% chance to win, against 16% for El Nacional and 19% for a draw. At home Cumbayá score 1.5 goals per game on average, while El Nacional score 1.1 away. The model expects about 3.2 goals in total. In their last five league games Cumbayá have won 3 and El Nacional 1. Our pick: Cumbayá to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, both teams to score: 55%.
Match events
- 20′⚽
- 39′⚽
- 57′⚽
Form (last 5)
CumbayáWWLDW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Away | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Total | 1.4 | 1.0 |
El NacionalLLLWL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Away | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Total | 0.9 | 1.6 |
Comparison
CumbayáEl Nacional77%Form23%
69%Attack31%
65%Defence35%
62%Poisson38%
80%Head to head20%
73%Goals27%
71%Total29%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
5WinsCumbayá3Draws
2WinsEl NacionalIn the last 10 meetings, Cumbayá won 5, El Nacional won 2 and 3 ended in a draw.
- 2.2Goals per match
- 5 of 10Over 2.5
- 5 of 10Both teams scored
- 26.09.2026Liga Pro Serie BEl Nacional0:3Cumbayá
- 08.07.2026Liga Pro Serie BEl Nacional0:1Cumbayá
- 24.04.2026Liga Pro Serie BCumbayá2:1El Nacional
- 15.09.2024Liga ProEl Nacional2:1Cumbayá
- 30.03.2024Liga ProCumbayá1:0El Nacional
- 26.08.2023Liga ProEl Nacional2:2Cumbayá
- 02.04.2023Liga ProCumbayá2:0El Nacional
- 25.08.2021Liga Pro Serie BCumbayá0:0El Nacional
- 12.07.2021Liga Pro Serie BEl Nacional2:1Cumbayá
- 07.06.2021Liga Pro Serie BCumbayá1:1El Nacional
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ind. Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | +12 | 39 |
| 2 |  Atletico FC | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  9 de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 37 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 |  Cuniburo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +8 | 31 |
| 6 |  San Antonio | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 |  Gualaceo SC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 |  Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | +1 | 28 |
| 9 |  LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | Cumbayá | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 |  22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -21 | 15 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 12 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
