Cruz Azul vs Leon prediction
Mexico – Liga MX · Apertura – 1556%121%X23%2
Our tipCruz Azul to win56%@1.70
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 64%
- BTTSYes · 62%
- Expected goals3.30
Probabilities
Pred.: Cruz Azul to winExpected goals: 3.30 (Cruz Azul 2.06 · Leon 1.24)
Correct score
- 2:110%
- 1:110%
- 2:08%
- 1:08%
- 3:17%
- 2:26%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Cruz Azul to win1 56%X 21%2 23%Odds 1.70 · Betano
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 36%Over 64%Odds 1.52 · Betano
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 38%Yes 62%Odds 1.53 · Bet365
Double chanceNo draw1X 77%12 79%X2 44%Odds 1.22 · William Hill
First halfFirst half: Cruz Azul1 43%X 36%2 21%Odds 2.20 · Betano
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 16%Over 84%Odds 1.16 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 58%Over 42%Odds 1.67 · Bet365
HT/FTCruz Azul / Cruz Azul1/1 36%X/1 17%2/2 13%Odds 2.55 · Betano
Correct score2:12:1 10%
Match preview
Cruz Azul are favourites here with a 56% chance to win, against 23% for Leon and 21% for a draw. At home Cruz Azul score 2.4 goals per game on average, while Leon score 1.1 away. The model expects about 3.3 goals in total. In their last five league games Cruz Azul have won 3 and Leon 2. Our pick: Cruz Azul to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, both teams to score: 62%.
Form (last 5)
Cruz AzulDDWWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Away | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Total | 2.3 | 1.6 |
LeonWDLWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Away | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Total | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Comparison
Cruz AzulLeon58%Form42%
64%Attack36%
50%Defence50%
57%Poisson43%
80%Head to head20%
63%Goals37%
62%Total38%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
8WinsCruz Azul1Draws
1WinsLeonIn the last 10 meetings, Cruz Azul won 8, Leon won 1 and one ended in a draw.
- 2.9Goals per match
- 7 of 10Over 2.5
- 7 of 10Both teams scored
- 11.01.2026Liga MXLeon2:1Cruz Azul
- 27.07.2025Liga MXCruz Azul4:1Leon
- 12.05.2025Liga MXCruz Azul2:1Leon
- 09.05.2025Liga MXLeon2:3Cruz Azul
- 16.04.2025Liga MXCruz Azul2:1Leon
- 15.09.2024Liga MXLeon1:2Cruz Azul
- 22.02.2024Liga MXLeon2:3Cruz Azul
- 29.10.2023Liga MXCruz Azul1:0Leon
- 09.04.2023Liga MXLeon0:0Cruz Azul
- 09.10.2022Liga MXCruz Azul1:0Leon
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Atlas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 24 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +10 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 7 |  Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 20 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Club Queretaro | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 |  Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 |  Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. – Pumas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 16 |
| 14 |  Puebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -24 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
