Wanderers vs Progreso prediction

Uruguay – Primera División · Clausura – 12

Wanderers

15:00

Progreso

25.10.2026 15:00 · , Montevideo

Probabilities

1 · 42%X · 29%2 · 29%

Pred.: Wanderers to winCorrect score: 1:0Expected goals: 2.41 (1.39 – 1.03)

Predictions by market

1X2Wanderers to win1 42%X 29%2 29%Odds 2.10

Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 57%Over 43%Odds 1.80

BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 52%Yes 48%Odds 2.00

Double chanceNo draw1X 70%12 71%X2 58%Odds 1.33

First halfFirst half: Draw1 33%X 45%2 22%Odds 2.20

Odds: Bet365

Match preview

Wanderers are favourites here with a 42% chance to win, against 29% for Progreso and 29% for a draw. At home Wanderers score 1.3 goals per game on average, while Progreso score 0.8 away. The model expects about 2.4 goals in total. In their last five league games Wanderers have won 2 and Progreso 3. Our pick: Wanderers to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 43%, both teams to score: 48%.

Form (last 5)

Wanderers

DWWLL

	Goals +	Goals −
Home	1.3	0.9
Away	1.2	1.8
Total	1.2	1.4

Progreso

WWLDW

	Goals +	Goals −
Home	1.0	1.5
Away	0.8	1.4
Total	0.9	1.4

Comparison

41%

Form

59%

40%

Attack

60%

43%

Defence

57%

64%

Poisson

36%

38%

Head to head

62%

44%

Goals

56%

45%

Total

55%

Head to head

12.07.2026	Primera División	Wanderers	2:0	Progreso
18.04.2026	Primera División	Progreso	2:1	Wanderers
21.09.2025	Primera División – Clausura	Progreso	2:0	Wanderers
28.03.2025	Primera División – Apertura	Wanderers	1:1	Progreso
10.11.2024	Primera División – Clausura	Progreso	0:0	Wanderers
14.07.2024	Primera División – Apertura	Wanderers	4:2	Progreso
04.05.2024	Primera División – Apertura	Wanderers	2:0	Progreso
15.11.2021	Primera División – Clausura	Progreso	3:1	Wanderers
31.07.2021	Primera División – Apertura	Wanderers	2:0	Progreso
21.03.2021	Primera División – Clausura	Wanderers	1:3	Progreso

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts
1	Penarol	33	19	7	7	51:27	+24	63
2	Deportivo Maldonado	33	17	8	8	52:31	+21	59
3	Club Nacional	33	18	4	11	51:40	+11	58
4	Atletico Torque	33	17	6	10	54:39	+15	57
5	Racing Montevideo	33	15	11	7	39:27	+12	56
6	Liverpool Montevideo	33	14	11	8	44:31	+13	53
7	Wanderers	33	14	8	11	41:42	-1	50
8	Albion FC	33	12	7	14	44:43	+1	43
9	Juventud	33	10	10	13	37:41	-4	40
10	Central Espanol	33	10	8	15	32:44	-12	38
11	Boston River	33	10	7	16	33:43	-10	37
12	Cerro	33	10	7	16	27:48	-21	37
13	Defensor Sporting	33	8	11	14	30:40	-10	35
14	Cerro Largo	33	8	10	15	30:38	-8	34
15	Danubio	33	6	14	13	27:41	-14	32
16	Progreso	33	9	5	19	30:47	-17	32

Primera: Promedios

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts
1	Penarol	70	43	13	14	117:61	+56	142
2	Club Nacional	70	42	14	14	127:73	+54	137
3	Deportivo Maldonado	33	17	8	8	52:31	+21	59
4	Liverpool Montevideo	70	32	22	16	95:68	+27	118
5	Racing Montevideo	70	29	22	19	78:65	+13	109
6	Atletico Torque	70	30	16	24	108:90	+18	106
7	Juventud	70	28	17	25	82:80	+2	101
8	Defensor Sporting	70	26	18	26	72:78	-6	96
9	Boston River	70	24	20	26	83:82	+1	92
10	Albion FC	33	12	7	14	44:43	+1	43
11	Cerro Largo	70	20	23	27	71:79	-8	83
12	Cerro	70	22	18	30	60:90	-30	83
13	Wanderers	70	20	21	29	66:89	-23	81
14	Central Espanol	33	10	8	15	32:44	-12	38
15	Danubio	70	16	27	27	68:82	-14	75
16	Progreso	70	19	14	37	68:107	-39	71

Primera: Torneo Intermedio

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts
1	Penarol	7	5	1	1	12:3	+9	16
2	Cerro Largo	7	3	2	2	7:5	+2	11
3	Racing Montevideo	7	2	4	1	4:3	+1	10
4	Liverpool Montevideo	7	2	3	2	5:5	0	9
5	Central Espanol	7	2	3	2	4:4	0	9
6	Cerro	7	3	0	4	6:10	-4	9
7	Defensor Sporting	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
8	Boston River	7	1	2	4	5:10	-5	5
1	Wanderers	7	4	3	0	12:4	+8	15
2	Club Nacional	7	4	1	2	8:8	0	13
3	Deportivo Maldonado	7	3	3	1	12:6	+6	12
4	Atletico Torque	7	4	0	3	11:11	0	12
5	Juventud	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
6	Albion FC	7	1	3	3	6:8	-2	6
7	Progreso	7	2	0	5	6:11	-5	6
8	Danubio	7	0	4	3	5:9	-4	4

Primera: Apertura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts
1	Racing Montevideo	15	9	4	2	23:14	+9	31
2	Deportivo Maldonado	15	9	2	4	24:16	+8	29
3	Albion FC	15	8	4	3	26:16	+10	28
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23:16	+7	27
5	Central Espanol	15	7	3	5	23:22	+1	24
6	Atletico Torque	15	6	5	4	22:16	+6	23
7	Club Nacional	15	7	1	7	26:21	+5	22
8	Defensor Sporting	15	5	6	4	13:11	+2	21
9	Liverpool Montevideo	15	5	5	5	20:18	+2	20
10	Wanderers	15	6	2	7	16:21	-5	20
11	Danubio	15	4	6	5	17:21	-4	18
12	Cerro Largo	15	5	2	8	16:19	-3	17
13	Boston River	15	5	2	8	14:20	-6	17
14	Juventud	15	4	3	8	17:22	-5	15
15	Progreso	15	2	4	9	12:23	-11	10
16	Cerro	15	2	4	9	8:24	-16	10

Primera: Clausura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts
1	Liverpool Montevideo	11	7	3	1	19:8	+11	24
2	Club Nacional	11	7	2	2	17:11	+6	23
3	Atletico Torque	11	7	1	3	21:12	+9	22
4	Penarol	11	6	3	2	16:8	+8	20
5	Deportivo Maldonado	11	5	3	3	16:9	+7	18
6	Cerro	11	5	3	3	13:14	-1	18
7	Juventud	11	4	5	2	12:8	+4	17
8	Progreso	11	5	1	5	12:13	-1	16
9	Racing Montevideo	11	4	3	4	12:10	+2	15
10	Boston River	11	4	3	4	14:13	+1	15
11	Wanderers	11	4	3	4	13:17	-4	15
12	Danubio	11	2	4	5	5:11	-6	10
13	Albion FC	11	3	0	8	12:19	-7	9
14	Defensor Sporting	11	2	2	7	11:20	-9	8
15	Cerro Largo	11	0	6	5	7:14	-7	6
16	Central Espanol	11	1	2	8	5:18	-13	5

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+