São Bernardo vs Vila Nova prediction
Brazil – Serie B · Regular Season – 35
São Bernardo22:30
Vila NovaProbabilities
Pred.: Vila Nova to winCorrect score: 0:1Expected goals: 2.29 (1.15 – 1.14)
Predictions by market
1X2Vila Nova to win1 33%X 30%2 37%Odds 2.50
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 60%Over 40%Odds 1.62
BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 54%Yes 46%Odds 1.80
Double chanceNo draw1X 64%12 70%X2 67%Odds 1.36
First halfFirst half: Draw1 27%X 46%2 27%Odds 2.05
Odds: Bet365
Match preview
Vila Nova are favourites away from home with a 37% chance to win, against 33% for São Bernardo and 30% for a draw. At home São Bernardo score 1.1 goals per game on average, while Vila Nova score 0.9 away. The model expects about 2.3 goals in total. In their last five league games São Bernardo have won 1 and Vila Nova 3. Our pick: Vila Nova to win, likely score 0:1. Over 2.5 goals: 40%, both teams to score: 46%.
Form (last 5)
São BernardoDWLDL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Away | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Total | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Vila NovaWWDWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Away | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Total | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Comparison
31%Form69%
46%Attack54%
25%Defence75%
50%Poisson50%
0%Head to head100%
33%Goals67%
37%Total63%
Head to head
| 07.07.2026 | Serie B | Vila Nova | 2:1 | São Bernardo |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +15 | 62 |
| 2 |  Novorizontino | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | +31 | 61 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | +18 | 61 |
| 4 |  Fortaleza EC | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +12 | 60 |
| 5 |  Criciuma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 59 |
| 6 |  Atletico Goianiense | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | +10 | 54 |
| 7 |  CRB | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 52 |
| 8 |  Sport Recife | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | +8 | 51 |
| 9 |  Goias | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 49 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | -2 | 48 |
| 11 |  Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | +9 | 46 |
| 13 |  Botafogo SP | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | +1 | 44 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 43 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 37 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -7 | 29 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | -55 | 14 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+