Modena vs Cesena prediction
Italy – Serie B · Regular Season – 861%122%X17%2
Our tipModena to win61%@1.57✓
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 55%
- BTTSYes · 52%
- Expected goals2.90
Probabilities
Pred.: Modena to winExpected goals: 2.90 (Modena 1.96 · Cesena 0.94)
Correct score
- 1:011%
- 2:011%
- 1:110%
- 2:110%
- 3:07%Final score
- 3:17%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctModena to win1 61%X 22%2 17%Odds 1.57 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 45%Over 55%Odds 1.78 · Betano
BTTS✗ wrongBoth teams to scoreNo 48%Yes 52%Odds 1.83 · Betano
Double chance✓ correctModena not to lose1X 83%12 78%X2 39%Odds 1.17 · Betano
First half✓ correctFirst half: Modena1 45%X 38%2 17%Odds 2.12 · Betano
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 21%Over 79%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 67%Over 33%Odds –
HT/FT✓ correctModena / Modena1/1 39%X/1 19%X/X 13%
Correct score✗ wrong1:01:0 11%
Match preview
Modena are favourites here with a 61% chance to win, against 17% for Cesena and 22% for a draw. At home Modena score 1.7 goals per game on average, while Cesena score 1.0 away. The model expects about 2.9 goals in total. In their last five league games Modena have won 2 and Cesena 0. Our pick: Modena to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, both teams to score: 52%.
Match events
- 2′• Antonio Fiori
- 5′🟥 Antonio Fiori
- 19′⚽ Andrea Belotti (Gastón Brugman)
- 20′🟨 Mihajlo Ilic
- 32′⚽ Andrea Belotti (Daniel Tonoli)
- 35′⚽ Gianluca Frabotta
- 45′⇄ Daniel Tonoli
- 45′⇄ Mihajlo Ilic
- 45′⇄ Luca D'Andrea
- 57′⇄ Alessandro Bianco
- 57′⇄ Andrea Belotti
- 61′⇄ Dimitri Bisoli
- 61′⇄ Cristian Shpendi
- 66′⇄ Giuseppe Ambrosino
- 77′⇄ Matteo Guidi
- 79′⇄ Bryant Nieling
Form (last 5)
ModenaLDWWL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Away | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Total | 1.7 | 1.1 |
CesenaDDDLD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Away | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Total | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Comparison
ModenaCesena64%Form36%
58%Attack42%
50%Defence50%
61%Poisson39%
38%Head to head62%
43%Goals57%
52%Total47%
Head to head
Last 9 meetings
3WinsModena3Draws
3WinsCesenaIn the last 9 meetings, Modena won 3, Cesena won 3 and 3 ended in a draw.
- 1.3Goals per match
- 2 of 9Over 2.5
- 2 of 9Both teams scored
- 07.03.2026Serie BModena0:0Cesena
- 28.11.2025Serie BCesena1:0Modena
- 13.05.2025Serie BModena0:1Cesena
- 13.09.2024Serie BCesena2:2Modena
- 07.02.2022Serie C – Girone BModena1:0Cesena
- 28.09.2021Serie C – Girone BCesena1:2Modena
- 21.03.2021Serie C – Girone BModena1:0Cesena
- 29.11.2020Serie C – Girone BCesena0:0Modena
- 05.04.2020Serie C – Girone BModenaPostponedCesena
- 24.11.2019Serie C – Girone BCesena1:0Modena
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 |  Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Hellas Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
