Mārupe vs Riga Mariners prediction
Latvia – 1. Liga · Regular Season – 24
Mārupe17:00
Riga MarinersProbabilities
Pred.: Riga Mariners to winCorrect score: 1:2Expected goals: 3.45 (1.60 – 1.85)
Predictions by market
1X2Riga Mariners to win1 26%X 30%2 44%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 33%Over 67%Odds –
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 33%Yes 67%Odds –
Double chanceRiga Mariners not to lose1X 56%12 70%X2 75%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Draw1 29%X 36%2 35%Odds –
Match preview
Riga Mariners are favourites away from home with a 44% chance to win, against 26% for Mārupe and 30% for a draw. At home Mārupe score 1.8 goals per game on average, while Riga Mariners score 2.2 away. The model expects about 3.5 goals in total. In their last five league games Mārupe have won 2 and Riga Mariners 3. Our pick: Riga Mariners to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, both teams to score: 67%.
Form (last 5)
MārupeLWDWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Away | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Total | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Riga MarinersWLWLW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Away | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Total | 2.3 | 1.3 |
Comparison
47%Form53%
36%Attack64%
76%Defence24%
39%Poisson61%
0%Head to head100%
22%Goals78%
44%Total56%
Head to head
| 27.06.2026 | 1. Liga | Riga Mariners | 2:0 | Mārupe |
| 09.08.2025 | 1. Liga | Riga Mariners | 3:1 | Mārupe |
| 12.04.2025 | 1. Liga | Mārupe | 1:2 | Riga Mariners |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | +78 | 60 |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | +37 | 53 |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | +22 | 53 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | +24 | 50 |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +13 | 41 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | +3 | 33 |
| 7 |  Riga FC II | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 |  Skanste | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | -2 | 26 |
| 9 |  Super Nova 2 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -6 | 26 |
| 10 |  Smiltene | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -27 | 20 |
| 11 |  Tukums II | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -34 | 19 |
| 12 |  Rīgas FS II | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 |  JFK Ventspils | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -24 | 16 |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | -53 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+