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Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction

England – League CupEngland – League Cup · Round of 16
LiverpoolLiverpool
ChelseaChelsea
· Anfield, Liverpool

Probabilities

1 · 37%X · 22%2 · 41%
Pred.: No drawExpected goals: 3.43 (Liverpool 1.67 · Chelsea 1.76)

Correct score

  1. 1:19%
  2. 1:28%
  3. 2:18%
  4. 2:27%
  5. 0:16%
  6. 1:06%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2No draw1 37%X 22%2 41%Odds 1.30 · William Hill
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 33%Over 67%Odds 1.53 · Betano
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 33%Yes 67%Odds 1.45 · Betano
Double chanceNo draw1X 59%12 78%X2 63%Odds 1.30 · William Hill
First halfFirst half: Draw1 31%X 36%2 33%Odds 2.57 · Pinnacle

Best odds among 10 bookmakers; our probabilities use all of them, without their margins.

Match preview

Chelsea are favourites away from home with a 41% chance to win, against 37% for Liverpool and 22% for a draw. The model expects about 3.4 goals in total. In their last five league games Liverpool have won 1 and Chelsea 2. Our pick: No draw, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, both teams to score: 67%.

Form (last 5)

Liverpool
W
Goals +Goals −
Home3.01.0
Away0.00.0
Total3.01.0
Chelsea
WW
Goals +Goals −
Home4.01.5
Away0.00.0
Total4.01.5

Comparison

LiverpoolChelsea
33%
Form
67%
27%
Attack
73%
75%
Defence
25%
0%
Poisson
0%
50%
Head to head
50%
46%
Goals
54%
46%
Total
53%

Head to head

09.05.2026Premier LeagueLiverpool1:1Chelsea
04.10.2025Premier LeagueChelsea2:1Liverpool
04.05.2025Premier LeagueChelsea3:1Liverpool
20.10.2024Premier LeagueLiverpool2:1Chelsea
25.02.2024League CupChelsea0:1Liverpool
31.01.2024Premier LeagueLiverpool4:1Chelsea
13.08.2023Premier LeagueChelsea1:1Liverpool
04.04.2023Premier LeagueChelsea0:0Liverpool
21.01.2023Premier LeagueLiverpool0:0Chelsea
14.05.2022FA CupChelsea0:0Liverpool

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+