Independiente vs Boca Juniors prediction

Argentina – Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina – Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura – 14
IndependienteIndependiente
22:00
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
25.10.2026 22:00 · , Avellaneda

Probabilities

1 · 25%X · 29%2 · 46%
Pred.: Boca Juniors to winCorrect score: 0:1Expected goals: 2.41 (0.99 – 1.42)

Predictions by market

1X2Boca Juniors to win1 25%X 29%2 46%Odds 1.95
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 57%Over 43%Odds 1.60
BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 52%Yes 48%Odds 1.75
Double chanceBoca Juniors not to lose1X 53%12 71%X2 75%Odds 1.22
First halfFirst half: Draw1 21%X 45%2 34%Odds 2.05

Odds: Bet365

Match preview

Boca Juniors are favourites away from home with a 46% chance to win, against 25% for Independiente and 29% for a draw. At home Independiente score 1.3 goals per game on average, while Boca Juniors score 1.6 away. The model expects about 2.4 goals in total. In their last five league games Independiente have won 1 and Boca Juniors 4. Our pick: Boca Juniors to win, likely score 0:1. Over 2.5 goals: 43%, both teams to score: 48%.

Form (last 5)

Independiente
DWLDD
Goals +Goals −
Home1.31.3
Away1.21.1
Total1.21.2
Boca Juniors
WWWDW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.40.6
Away1.61.1
Total1.50.9

Comparison

32%
Form
68%
29%
Attack
71%
36%
Defence
64%
36%
Poisson
64%
50%
Head to head
50%
40%
Goals
60%
37%
Total
62%

Head to head

12.04.2026Liga Profesional ArgentinaBoca Juniors1:1Independiente
20.05.2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaBoca Juniors0:1Independiente
15.12.2024Liga Profesional ArgentinaBoca Juniors0:0Independiente
29.07.2023Liga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente0:2Boca Juniors
08.01.2023Friendlies ClubsBoca Juniors0:0Independiente
23.10.2022Liga Profesional ArgentinaBoca Juniors2:2Independiente
27.02.2022Liga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente2:2Boca Juniors
25.11.2021Liga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente1:0Boca Juniors
29.03.2021Liga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente1:1Boca Juniors
21.12.2020Liga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente1:2Boca Juniors

Standings

Apertura – Group A

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231
2 Boca Juniors1686222:9+1330
3 Velez Sarsfield1677218:12+628
4 Talleres Cordoba1675417:13+426
5 Independiente1666424:20+424
6 Lanus1666418:15+324
7 San Lorenzo1657414:14022
8 Union Santa Fe1656524:20+421
9 Instituto Cordoba1663717:17021
10 Defensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319
11 Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819
12 Platense1637610:15-516
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016
14 Newells Old Boys1636715:27-1215
15 Deportivo Riestra161875:12-711

Clausura – Group A

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Instituto Cordoba1392220:10+1029
2 Boca Juniors1366121:14+724
3 Defensa Y Justicia1373318:12+624
4 Velez Sarsfield1366118:13+524
5 Lanus1372416:9+723
6 Newells Old Boys1355313:10+320
7 Gimnasia M.1362515:13+220
8 Independiente1354412:13-119
9 San Lorenzo135267:12-517
10 Estudiantes L.P.1342716:15+114
11 Union Santa Fe1342718:22-414
12 Deportivo Riestra1326510:13-312
13 Platense1325612:19-711
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago1324711:18-710
15 Talleres Cordoba1323812:20-89

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+