Grobiņa vs Riga prediction
Latvia – Virsliga · Regular Season – 347%113%X80%2
Our tipRiga to win80%@1.21✓
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 66%
- BTTSNo · 54%
- Expected goals3.39
Probabilities
Pred.: Riga to winExpected goals: 3.39 (Grobiņa 0.67 · Riga 2.72)
Correct score
- 0:213%
- 0:311%
- 0:19%
- 1:28%
- 0:48%
- 1:38%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctRiga to win1 7%X 13%2 80%Odds 1.21 · Betano
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 34%Over 66%Odds 1.50 · Bet365
BTTS✗ wrongNot both teams to scoreNo 54%Yes 46%Odds 1.80 · Betfair
Double chance✓ correctRiga not to lose1X 20%12 87%X2 93%Odds 1.04 · William Hill
First half✓ correctFirst half: Riga1 9%X 31%2 60%Odds 1.60 · Betano
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 15%Over 85%Odds 1.14 · Bet365
Under/Over 3.5✗ wrongUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 56%Over 44%Odds 1.65 · Betfair
HT/FT✓ correctRiga / Riga2/2 57%X/2 20%X/X 8%Odds 1.67 · Bet365
Correct score✗ wrong0:30:3 11%
Match preview
Riga are favourites away from home with a 80% chance to win, against 7% for Grobiņa and 13% for a draw. At home Grobiņa score 0.9 goals per game on average, while Riga score 2.6 away. The model expects about 3.4 goals in total. In their last five league games Grobiņa have won 1 and Riga 4. Our pick: Riga to win, likely score 0:3. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, both teams to score: 46%.
Match events
- 4′⚽ Samuel Pedro (Muhammed Badammosi)
- 12′🟥 Aleksa Jovanović
- 13′⚽ Muhammed Badammosi
- 17′⚽ Coli Saco (Ahmed Ankrah)
- 18′⇄ Oladotun Olatunde-Matthew
- 18′⇄ hirotaka yamada
- 22′🟨 Andrés Salazar
- 27′🟨 Gļebs Kļuškins
- 28′⚽ Muhammed Badammosi (Salah hand m)
- 29′🟨 Karl Gameni Wassom
- 30′🟨 Krisjanis rupeiks
- 38′🟨 Antonijs Černomordijs
- 45+1′⇄ Milan·Corryn
- 46′⇄ Andrés Salazar
- 46′⇄ Karl Gameni Wassom
- 63′⇄ Dodo
- 63′⇄ martin jose
- 67′⚽ Salah hand m (Antonijs Černomordijs)
- 67′⇄ Salah hand m
- 68′⇄ Raivis Jurkovskis
- 79′⚽ Artjoms Puzirevskis (Maksims Sidorovs)
- 87′⇄ Ahmed Ankrah
- 89′⚽ Artjoms Puzirevskis (Ivan·Tyshchenko)
Line-ups
Grobiņa4-4-2
Riga4-2-3-1Substitutes
- 80A. BaydalFW63′5.9
- 32G. KļuškinsMF18′6.2
- 7J. KrautmanisDF
- 1V. KudrjavcevsGK
- 5G. LeitansMF18′6.7
- 99A. PuzirevskisFW246′7.8
- 88I. TyshchenkoMF63′
CoachOskars Klava
Substitutes
- 3AbnerDF46′6.9
- 7R. AouaniFW
- 22M. DiopFW68′7.0
- 8Iago Siqueira AugustoMF87′6.0
- 44M. KazainisGK
- 60E. MaviramDF46′6.6
- 21B. MusahDF
- 10Reginaldo RamiresFW67′
- 23M. ToņiševsDF
CoachA. Guľa
Player ratings from our data provider, out of 10.
Form (last 5)
GrobiņaLDDLW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Away | 0.6 | 2.1 |
| Total | 0.8 | 1.7 |
RigaDWWWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| Away | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| Total | 2.7 | 0.9 |
Comparison
GrobiņaRiga28%Form72%
38%Attack62%
33%Defence67%
18%Poisson82%
7%Head to head93%
8%Goals92%
22%Total78%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
0WinsGrobiņa1Draws
9WinsRigaIn the last 10 meetings, Riga won 9, Grobiņa won none and one ended in a draw.
- 3.3Goals per match
- 5 of 10Over 2.5
- 2 of 10Both teams scored
- 02.08.2026VirsligaRiga4:0Grobiņa
- 29.05.2026VirsligaRiga2:0Grobiņa
- 18.04.2026VirsligaGrobiņa0:3Riga
- 02.11.2025VirsligaGrobiņa1:1Riga
- 10.08.2025VirsligaRiga2:0Grobiņa
- 14.06.2025VirsligaGrobiņa0:2Riga
- 19.04.2025VirsligaRiga3:0Grobiņa
- 31.08.2024VirsligaRiga6:1Grobiņa
- 22.06.2024VirsligaGrobiņa0:6Riga
- 02.05.2024VirsligaRiga2:0Grobiņa
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 34 | 27 | 5 | 2 | +60 | 86 |
| 2 | Riga | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +62 | 82 |
| 3 |  Auda | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | +22 | 67 |
| 4 |  BFC Daugavpils | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +3 | 48 |
| 5 |  FK Liepaja | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 47 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | -18 | 38 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -34 | 29 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -21 | 25 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | -51 | 18 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
