FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva prediction

Russia – CupRussia – Cup · Group Stage – 5
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
15:00
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
28.10.2026 15:00 · Gazovik Stadium, Orenburg

Probabilities

1 · 46%X · 29%2 · 25%
Pred.: FC Orenburg to winCorrect score: 2:1Expected goals: 3.77 (2.05 – 1.72)

Predictions by market

1X2FC Orenburg to win1 46%X 29%2 25%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 27%Over 73%Odds –
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 28%Yes 72%Odds –
Double chanceFC Orenburg not to lose1X 75%12 71%X2 54%Odds –
First halfFirst half: FC Orenburg1 37%X 34%2 29%Odds –

Match preview

FC Orenburg are favourites here with a 46% chance to win, against 25% for Rodina Moskva and 29% for a draw. The model expects about 3.8 goals in total. In their last five league games FC Orenburg have won 2 and Rodina Moskva 1. Our pick: FC Orenburg to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 73%, both teams to score: 72%.

Form (last 5)

FC Orenburg
LWLW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.02.0
Away3.02.3
Total2.52.3
Rodina Moskva
WLLL
Goals +Goals −
Home2.72.7
Away1.03.0
Total2.32.8

Comparison

67%
Form
33%
53%
Attack
47%
55%
Defence
45%
55%
Poisson
45%
71%
Head to head
29%
67%
Goals
33%
61%
Total
38%

Head to head

19.10.2026Premier LeagueRodina Moskva2:2FC Orenburg
18.08.2026CupRodina Moskva1:4FC Orenburg
20.02.2026Friendlies ClubsFC Orenburg–Rodina Moskva

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+