Farense vs Penafiel prediction
Portugal – Segunda Liga · Regular Season – 8
Farense20:00
PenafielProbabilities
Pred.: Farense to winCorrect score: 1:0Expected goals: 2.55 (1.52 – 1.03)
Predictions by market
1X2Farense to win1 47%X 27%2 26%Odds 1.83
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 53%Over 47%Odds 1.73
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 50%Yes 50%Odds 1.91
Double chanceFarense not to lose1X 74%12 73%X2 53%Odds 1.22
First halfFirst half: Draw1 35%X 43%2 22%Odds 2.10
Odds: Bet365
Match preview
Farense are favourites here with a 47% chance to win, against 26% for Penafiel and 27% for a draw. At home Farense score 2.3 goals per game on average, while Penafiel score 2.3 away. The model expects about 2.6 goals in total. In their last five league games Farense have won 2 and Penafiel 4. Our pick: Farense to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, both teams to score: 50%.
Form (last 5)
FarenseDLDWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Away | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Total | 1.9 | 0.9 |
PenafielWWWWL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Away | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| Total | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Comparison
40%Form60%
40%Attack60%
50%Defence50%
57%Poisson43%
85%Head to head15%
73%Goals27%
57%Total42%
Head to head
| 07.03.2026 | Segunda Liga | Penafiel | 1:1 | Farense |
| 26.10.2025 | Segunda Liga | Farense | 0:0 | Penafiel |
| 22.04.2023 | Segunda Liga | Farense | 2:1 | Penafiel |
| 05.11.2022 | Segunda Liga | Penafiel | 0:2 | Farense |
| 19.03.2022 | Segunda Liga | Penafiel | 1:3 | Farense |
| 01.11.2021 | Segunda Liga | Farense | 2:2 | Penafiel |
| 10.05.2020 | Segunda Liga | Farense | – | Penafiel |
| 12.01.2020 | Segunda Liga | Penafiel | 3:0 | Farense |
| 19.04.2019 | Segunda Liga | Farense | 1:1 | Penafiel |
| 23.12.2018 | Segunda Liga | Penafiel | 2:3 | Farense |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 3 | Farense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 4 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 |  Benfica B | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 |  Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  União de Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+