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Everton vs Newcastle prediction

England – League CupEngland – League Cup · Round of 16
EvertonEverton
NewcastleNewcastle
44%125%X31%2
Our tipEverton to win44%@2.31
  • Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
  • BTTSYes · 56%
  • Expected goals2.80
· Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool

Probabilities

1 · 44%X · 25%2 · 31%
Pred.: Everton to winExpected goals: 2.80 (Everton 1.55 · Newcastle 1.25)

Correct score

  1. 1:112%
  2. 1:09%
  3. 2:19%
  4. 0:18%
  5. 1:27%
  6. 2:07%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2Everton to win1 44%X 25%2 31%Odds 2.31 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 47%Over 53%Odds 1.82 · Marathonbet
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 44%Yes 56%Odds 1.63 · Marathonbet
Double chanceNo draw1X 69%12 75%X2 56%Odds 1.33 · Marathonbet
First halfFirst half: Draw1 34%X 41%2 25%Odds 2.37 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 23%Over 77%Odds 1.25 · BetVictor
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 69%Over 31%Odds 1.44 · Betano
HT/FTEverton / Everton1/1 27%2/2 18%X/1 15%Odds 3.50 · Bet365
Correct score1:01:0 9%

Match preview

Everton are favourites here with a 44% chance to win, against 31% for Newcastle and 25% for a draw. The model expects about 2.8 goals in total. In their last five league games Everton have won 2 and Newcastle 2. Our pick: Everton to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, both teams to score: 56%.

Form (last 5)

Everton
WW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.00.0
Away4.00.0
Total2.50.0
Newcastle
WW
Goals +Goals −
Home3.02.0
Away1.00.0
Total2.01.0

Comparison

EvertonNewcastle
50%
Form
50%
56%
Attack
44%
100%
Defence
0%
0%
Poisson
0%
71%
Head to head
29%
53%
Goals
47%
57%
Total
42%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

5WinsEverton
2Draws
3WinsNewcastle

In the last 10 meetings, Everton won 5, Newcastle won 3 and 2 ended in a draw.

  • 2.7Goals per match
  • 5 of 10Over 2.5
  • 5 of 10Both teams scored
  1. 12.08.2026Friendlies ClubsNewcastle1:3Everton
  2. 28.02.2026Premier LeagueNewcastle2:3Everton
  3. 29.11.2025Premier LeagueEverton1:4Newcastle
  4. 25.05.2025Premier LeagueNewcastle0:1Everton
  5. 05.10.2024Premier LeagueEverton0:0Newcastle
  6. 02.04.2024Premier LeagueNewcastle1:1Everton
  7. 07.12.2023Premier LeagueEverton3:0Newcastle
  8. 27.04.2023Premier LeagueEverton1:4Newcastle
  9. 19.10.2022Premier LeagueNewcastle1:0Everton
  10. 17.03.2022Premier LeagueEverton1:0Newcastle

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.