Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo prediction

Uruguay – Primera DivisiónUruguay – Primera División · Clausura – 12
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
02:00
Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo
24.10.2026 02:00 · Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo

Probabilities

1 · 36%X · 31%2 · 33%
Pred.: Defensor Sporting to winCorrect score: 1:0Expected goals: 2.21 (1.09 – 1.12)

Predictions by market

1X2Defensor Sporting to win1 36%X 31%2 33%Odds 2.55
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 62%Over 38%Odds 1.62
BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 55%Yes 45%Odds 1.80
Double chanceNo draw1X 66%12 69%X2 64%Odds 1.33
First halfFirst half: Draw1 26%X 47%2 27%Odds 2.05

Odds: Bet365

Match preview

Defensor Sporting are favourites here with a 36% chance to win, against 33% for Racing Montevideo and 31% for a draw. At home Defensor Sporting score 1.0 goals per game on average, while Racing Montevideo score 0.9 away. The model expects about 2.2 goals in total. In their last five league games Defensor Sporting have won 1 and Racing Montevideo 1. Our pick: Defensor Sporting to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 38%, both teams to score: 45%.

Form (last 5)

Defensor Sporting
LWLLL
Goals +Goals −
Home1.01.2
Away0.81.2
Total0.91.2
Racing Montevideo
DLLLW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.50.7
Away0.90.9
Total1.20.8

Comparison

43%
Form
57%
64%
Attack
36%
33%
Defence
67%
41%
Poisson
59%
85%
Head to head
15%
83%
Goals
17%
58%
Total
41%

Head to head

30.05.2026Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo0:0Defensor Sporting
18.04.2026Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo1:1Defensor Sporting
17.08.2025Primera División – ClausuraRacing Montevideo0:1Defensor Sporting
16.02.2025Primera División – AperturaDefensor Sporting2:0Racing Montevideo
24.10.2024Copa UruguayDefensor Sporting1:0Racing Montevideo
14.09.2024Primera División – ClausuraDefensor Sporting1:2Racing Montevideo
22.06.2024Primera División – AperturaRacing Montevideo0:1Defensor Sporting
02.03.2024Primera División – AperturaRacing Montevideo1:2Defensor Sporting
11.11.2023Primera División – ClausuraDefensor Sporting3:0Racing Montevideo
03.04.2023Primera División – AperturaRacing Montevideo0:1Defensor Sporting

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Penarol33197751:27+2463
2 Deportivo Maldonado33178852:31+2159
3 Club Nacional331841151:40+1158
4 Atletico Torque331761054:39+1557
5 Racing Montevideo331511739:27+1256
6 Liverpool Montevideo331411844:31+1353
7 Wanderers331481141:42-150
8 Albion FC331271444:43+143
9 Juventud3310101337:41-440
10 Central Espanol331081532:44-1238
11 Boston River331071633:43-1037
12 Cerro331071627:48-2137
13 Defensor Sporting338111430:40-1035
14 Cerro Largo338101530:38-834
15 Danubio336141327:41-1432
16 Progreso33951930:47-1732

Primera: Promedios

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Penarol70431314117:61+56142
2 Club Nacional70421414127:73+54137
3 Deportivo Maldonado33178852:31+2159
4 Liverpool Montevideo7032221695:68+27118
5 Racing Montevideo7029221978:65+13109
6 Atletico Torque70301624108:90+18106
7 Juventud7028172582:80+2101
8 Defensor Sporting7026182672:78-696
9 Boston River7024202683:82+192
10 Albion FC331271444:43+143
11 Cerro Largo7020232771:79-883
12 Cerro7022183060:90-3083
13 Wanderers7020212966:89-2381
14 Central Espanol331081532:44-1238
15 Danubio7016272768:82-1475
16 Progreso7019143768:107-3971

Primera: Torneo Intermedio

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Penarol751112:3+916
2 Cerro Largo73227:5+211
3 Racing Montevideo72414:3+110
4 Liverpool Montevideo72325:509
5 Central Espanol72324:409
6 Cerro73046:10-49
7 Defensor Sporting71336:9-36
8 Boston River71245:10-55
1 Wanderers743012:4+815
2 Club Nacional74128:8013
3 Deportivo Maldonado733112:6+612
4 Atletico Torque740311:11012
5 Juventud72238:11-38
6 Albion FC71336:8-26
7 Progreso72056:11-56
8 Danubio70435:9-44

Primera: Apertura

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Racing Montevideo1594223:14+931
2 Deportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829
3 Albion FC1584326:16+1028
4 Penarol1583423:16+727
5 Central Espanol1573523:22+124
6 Atletico Torque1565422:16+623
7 Club Nacional1571726:21+522
8 Defensor Sporting1556413:11+221
9 Liverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220
10 Wanderers1562716:21-520
11 Danubio1546517:21-418
12 Cerro Largo1552816:19-317
13 Boston River1552814:20-617
14 Juventud1543817:22-515
15 Progreso1524912:23-1110
16 Cerro152498:24-1610

Primera: Clausura

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Liverpool Montevideo1173119:8+1124
2 Club Nacional1172217:11+623
3 Atletico Torque1171321:12+922
4 Penarol1163216:8+820
5 Deportivo Maldonado1153316:9+718
6 Cerro1153313:14-118
7 Juventud1145212:8+417
8 Progreso1151512:13-116
9 Racing Montevideo1143412:10+215
10 Boston River1143414:13+115
11 Wanderers1143413:17-415
12 Danubio112455:11-610
13 Albion FC1130812:19-79
14 Defensor Sporting1122711:20-98
15 Cerro Largo110657:14-76
16 Central Espanol111285:18-135

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+