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Cerro vs Central Espanol prediction

40%130%X30%2
Our tipDraw30%
  • Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 · 59%
  • BTTSNo · 53%
  • Expected goals2.32
· , Montevideo

Probabilities

1 · 40%X · 30%2 · 30%
Pred.: Cerro to winExpected goals: 2.32 (Cerro 1.24 · Central Espanol 1.08)

Correct score

  1. 1:113%
  2. 1:012%
  3. 0:111%
  4. 0:010%
  5. 2:18%
  6. 2:08%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2Cerro to win1 40%X 30%2 30%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 59%Over 41%Odds –
BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 53%Yes 47%Odds –
Double chanceCerro not to lose1X 70%12 70%X2 60%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Draw1 29%X 46%2 25%Odds –
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 33%Over 67%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 80%Over 20%Odds –
HT/FTCerro / Cerro1/1 23%X/X 20%2/2 18%
Correct score1:01:0 12%

Match preview

Cerro are favourites here with a 40% chance to win, against 30% for Central Espanol and 30% for a draw. At home Cerro score 0.8 goals per game on average, while Central Espanol score 0.8 away. The model expects about 2.3 goals in total. In their last five league games Cerro have won 1 and Central Espanol 0. Our pick: Cerro to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, both teams to score: 47%.

Form (last 5)

Cerro
LDLWD
Goals +Goals −
Home0.80.8
Away0.92.1
Total0.81.5
Central Espanol
LLLLL
Goals +Goals −
Home1.11.3
Away0.81.4
Total1.01.4

Comparison

CerroCentral Espanol
100%
Form
0%
71%
Attack
29%
59%
Defence
41%
57%
Poisson
43%
71%
Head to head
29%
60%
Goals
40%
63%
Total
36%

Head to head

Last 8 meetings

4WinsCerro
1Draws
3WinsCentral Espanol

In the last 8 meetings, Cerro won 4, Central Espanol won 3 and one ended in a draw.

  • 2.4Goals per match
  • 3 of 8Over 2.5
  • 3 of 8Both teams scored
  1. 24.05.2026Primera DivisiónCerro1:0Central Espanol
  2. 26.04.2026Primera DivisiónCentral Espanol3:1Cerro
  3. 05.08.2022Segunda DivisiónCerro2:0Central Espanol
  4. 14.05.2022Segunda DivisiónCentral Espanol1:2Cerro
  5. 28.09.2021Segunda DivisiónCerro0:0Central Espanol
  6. 16.06.2021Segunda DivisiónCentral Espanol3:2Cerro
  7. 18.05.2013Primera División – ClausuraCentral Espanol0:2Cerro
  8. 25.11.2012Primera División – AperturaCerro0:2Central Espanol

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Penarol34198751:27+2464
2 Deportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262
3 Club Nacional331841151:40+1158
4 Atletico Torque331761054:39+1557
5 Racing Montevideo341512742:30+1257
6 Liverpool Montevideo331411844:31+1353
7 Wanderers331481141:42-150
8 Albion FC341371447:44+346
9 Juventud3410111337:41-441
10 Central Espanol341081633:47-1438
11 Boston River331071633:43-1037
12 Cerro331071627:48-2137
13 Defensor Sporting348121433:43-1036
14 Cerro Largo338101530:38-834
15 Danubio346141428:43-1532
16 Progreso33951930:47-1732

Primera: Promedios

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Penarol71431414117:61+56143
2 Club Nacional70421414127:73+54137
3 Deportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262
4 Liverpool Montevideo7032221695:68+27118
5 Racing Montevideo7129231981:68+13110
6 Atletico Torque70301624108:90+18106
7 Juventud7128182582:80+2102
8 Defensor Sporting7126192675:81-697
9 Albion FC341371447:44+346
10 Boston River7024202683:82+192
11 Cerro Largo7020232771:79-883
12 Cerro7022183060:90-3083
13 Wanderers7020212966:89-2381
14 Central Espanol341081633:47-1438
15 Danubio7116272869:84-1575
16 Progreso7019143768:107-3971

Primera: Torneo Intermedio

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Penarol751112:3+916
2 Cerro Largo73227:5+211
3 Racing Montevideo72414:3+110
4 Liverpool Montevideo72325:509
5 Central Espanol72324:409
6 Cerro73046:10-49
7 Defensor Sporting71336:9-36
8 Boston River71245:10-55
1 Wanderers743012:4+815
2 Club Nacional74128:8013
3 Deportivo Maldonado733112:6+612
4 Atletico Torque740311:11012
5 Juventud72238:11-38
6 Albion FC71336:8-26
7 Progreso72056:11-56
8 Danubio70435:9-44

Primera: Apertura

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Racing Montevideo1594223:14+931
2 Deportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829
3 Albion FC1584326:16+1028
4 Penarol1583423:16+727
5 Central Espanol1573523:22+124
6 Atletico Torque1565422:16+623
7 Club Nacional1571726:21+522
8 Defensor Sporting1556413:11+221
9 Liverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220
10 Wanderers1562716:21-520
11 Danubio1546517:21-418
12 Cerro Largo1552816:19-317
13 Boston River1552814:20-617
14 Juventud1543817:22-515
15 Progreso1524912:23-1110
16 Cerro152498:24-1610

Primera: Clausura

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Liverpool Montevideo1173119:8+1124
2 Club Nacional1172217:11+623
3 Atletico Torque1171321:12+922
4 Deportivo Maldonado1263318:10+821
5 Penarol1264216:8+821
6 Juventud1246212:8+418
7 Cerro1153313:14-118
8 Racing Montevideo1244415:13+216
9 Progreso1151512:13-116
10 Boston River1143414:13+115
11 Wanderers1143413:17-415
12 Albion FC1240815:20-512
13 Danubio122466:13-710
14 Defensor Sporting1223714:23-99
15 Cerro Largo110657:14-76
16 Central Espanol121296:21-155

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.