VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid prediction

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League · League Stage – 3
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
1:1 (1:0)
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
20.10.2026 22:00 · MHP Arena, Stuttgart

Probabilities

1 · 34%X · 26%2 · 40%
Pred.: Atletico Madrid to winCorrect score: 1:2Expected goals: 3.25 (1.47 – 1.78)

Predictions by market

1X2Atletico Madrid to win1 34%X 26%2 40%Odds 2.00
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 37%Over 63%Odds 1.44
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 36%Yes 64%Odds 1.40
Double chanceNo draw1X 59%12 74%X2 66%Odds 1.25
First halfFirst half: Draw1 27%X 38%2 35%Odds 2.50

Odds: Bet365

Match preview

Atletico Madrid are favourites away from home with a 40% chance to win, against 34% for VfB Stuttgart and 26% for a draw. The model expects about 3.3 goals in total. In their last five league games VfB Stuttgart have won 2 and Atletico Madrid 1. Our pick: Atletico Madrid to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, both teams to score: 64%.

Match events

  • 17′🟨 Maximilian Mittelstädt
  • 36′⚽ Jamie Leweling
  • 45′⇄ Jonathan David
  • 47′⚽ Julián Álvarez (Ademola Lookman)
  • 52′⇄ Josha Vagnoman
  • 64′🟥 Morten Hjulmand
  • 69′⇄ Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
  • 72′⇄ Jamie Leweling
  • 78′⇄ Julián Álvarez
  • 78′⇄ Pablo Barrios Rivas
  • 85′🟨 Diego Pablo Simeone
  • 87′⇄ Giuliano Simeone Baldini
  • 87′⇄ Deniz Undav
  • 87′⇄ Chris Führich

Form (last 5)

VfB Stuttgart
WW
Goals +Goals −
Home3.01.0
Away3.00.0
Total3.00.5
Atletico Madrid
LW
Goals +Goals −
Home2.00.0
Away1.02.0
Total1.51.0

Comparison

67%
Form
33%
67%
Attack
33%
67%
Defence
33%
80%
Poisson
20%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
70%
Total
29%

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain330014:5+99
2 Liverpool330012:7+59
3 VfB Stuttgart32107:2+57
4 Aston Villa22009:2+76
5 Barcelona320111:6+56
6 Manchester City32019:5+46
7 Sporting CP22005:1+46
8 Arsenal22004:0+46
9 Real Madrid22006:4+26
10 Real Betis22006:4+26
11 Borussia Dortmund32015:4+16
12 Bayern München21108:3+54
13 AS Roma31118:5+34
14 Shakhtar Donetsk21104:2+24
15 Atletico Madrid31114:3+14
16 PSV Eindhoven31112:204
17 Como21016:4+23
18 Manchester United21014:2+23
19 Villarreal31028:803
20 Club Brugge KV21016:603
21 Lens21013:4-13
22 Napoli31025:7-23
23 RB Leipzig21012:4-23
24 Feyenoord21014:7-33
25 Sabah FA31023:6-33
26 Bodo/Glimt31024:9-53
27 AEK Athens FC31023:8-53
28 Fenerbahçe30213:9-62
29 Viking20114:6-21
30 Slavia Praha30124:7-31
31 Inter20024:6-20
32 Lask Linz20023:7-40
33 FC Porto30032:6-40
34 Lille20022:6-40
35 Galatasaray20022:7-50
36 Slovan Bratislava30031:13-120

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+