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Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo prediction

Argentina – Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina – Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura – 15
Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
50%128%X22%2
Our tipVelez Sarsfield to win50%@2.00
  • Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 · 64%
  • BTTSNo · 59%
  • Expected goals2.15
· , Buenos Aires

Probabilities

1 · 50%X · 28%2 · 22%
Pred.: Velez Sarsfield to winExpected goals: 2.15 (Velez Sarsfield 1.35 · San Lorenzo 0.80)

Correct score

  1. 1:016%
  2. 1:113%
  3. 0:012%
  4. 2:011%
  5. 0:19%
  6. 2:19%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2Velez Sarsfield to win1 50%X 28%2 22%Odds 2.00 · Betano
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 64%Over 36%Odds 1.57 · Betano
BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 59%Yes 41%Odds 1.70 · William Hill · Value · Our chance 61% · +5%
Double chanceVelez Sarsfield not to lose1X 78%12 72%X2 50%Odds 1.25 · Betano
First halfFirst half: Draw1 35%X 47%2 18%Odds 2.05 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 37%Over 63%Odds 1.50 · Betano
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 83%Over 17%Odds 1.20 · Betano
HT/FTVelez Sarsfield / Velez Sarsfield1/1 30%X/X 20%X/1 18%Odds 3.25 · Betano
Correct score1:01:0 16%

Match preview

Velez Sarsfield are favourites here with a 50% chance to win, against 22% for San Lorenzo and 28% for a draw. At home Velez Sarsfield score 1.2 goals per game on average, while San Lorenzo score 0.6 away. The model expects about 2.2 goals in total. In their last five league games Velez Sarsfield have won 3 and San Lorenzo 2. Our pick: Velez Sarsfield to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 36%, both teams to score: 41%.

Form (last 5)

Velez Sarsfield
WDLWW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.20.8
Away1.50.9
Total1.30.8
San Lorenzo
LLWWD
Goals +Goals −
Home0.91.0
Away0.60.9
Total0.70.9

Comparison

Velez SarsfieldSan Lorenzo
59%
Form
41%
79%
Attack
21%
50%
Defence
50%
66%
Poisson
34%
62%
Head to head
38%
67%
Goals
33%
63%
Total
36%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

3WinsVelez Sarsfield
3Draws
3WinsSan Lorenzo

In the last 9 meetings, Velez Sarsfield won 3, San Lorenzo won 3 and 3 ended in a draw.

  • 1.2Goals per match
  • 2 of 9Over 2.5
  • 2 of 9Both teams scored
  1. 20.04.2026Liga Profesional ArgentinaSan Lorenzo0:0Velez Sarsfield
  2. 07.08.2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaSan Lorenzo1:0Velez Sarsfield
  3. 08.02.2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaVelez Sarsfield0:0San Lorenzo
  4. 14.09.2024Liga Profesional ArgentinaSan Lorenzo0:1Velez Sarsfield
  5. 07.08.2024Copa ArgentinaSan Lorenzo1:3Velez Sarsfield
  6. 29.04.2023Liga Profesional ArgentinaVelez Sarsfield0:0San Lorenzo
  7. 08.10.2022Liga Profesional ArgentinaSan Lorenzo1:0Velez Sarsfield
  8. 07.11.2021Liga Profesional ArgentinaVelez Sarsfield2:1San Lorenzo
  9. 19.04.2020Copa de la SuperligaVelez SarsfieldCancelledSan Lorenzo
  10. 09.02.2020Liga Profesional ArgentinaSan Lorenzo1:0Velez Sarsfield

Standings

Apertura – Group A

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231
2 Boca Juniors1686222:9+1330
3 Velez Sarsfield1677218:12+628
4 Talleres Cordoba1675417:13+426
5 Independiente1666424:20+424
6 Lanus1666418:15+324
7 San Lorenzo1657414:14022
8 Union Santa Fe1656524:20+421
9 Instituto Cordoba1663717:17021
10 Defensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319
11 Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819
12 Platense1637610:15-516
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016
14 Newells Old Boys1636715:27-1215
15 Deportivo Riestra161875:12-711

Clausura – Group A

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Instituto Cordoba14102221:10+1132
2 Velez Sarsfield1476123:13+1027
3 Boca Juniors1476122:14+827
4 Defensa Y Justicia1483320:13+727
5 Lanus1473417:10+724
6 Newells Old Boys1456313:10+321
7 Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120
8 Independiente1454512:14-219
9 San Lorenzo145367:12-518
10 Union Santa Fe1452721:23-217
11 Estudiantes L.P.1442817:18-114
12 Platense1435614:20-614
13 Deportivo Riestra1426610:14-412
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago1424811:23-1210
15 Talleres Cordoba1423913:22-99

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.