Sheffield Utd vs Derby prediction

England – ChampionshipEngland – Championship · Regular Season – 12
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
14:30
DerbyDerby
24.10.2026 14:30 · Bramall Lane, Sheffield

Probabilities

1 · 52%X · 27%2 · 21%
Pred.: Sheffield Utd to winCorrect score: 1:0Expected goals: 2.76 (1.70 – 1.07)

Predictions by market

1X2Sheffield Utd to win1 52%X 27%2 21%Odds 1.80
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 48%Over 52%Odds 1.80
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 46%Yes 54%Odds 1.73
Double chanceSheffield Utd not to lose1X 79%12 73%X2 48%Odds 1.22
First halfFirst half: Draw1 38%X 41%2 21%Odds 2.25

Odds: Bet365

Match preview

Sheffield Utd are favourites here with a 52% chance to win, against 21% for Derby and 27% for a draw. At home Sheffield Utd score 1.4 goals per game on average, while Derby score 1.0 away. The model expects about 2.8 goals in total. In their last five league games Sheffield Utd have won 2 and Derby 0. Our pick: Sheffield Utd to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, both teams to score: 54%.

Form (last 5)

Sheffield Utd
LLWLW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.41.2
Away1.31.3
Total1.41.3
Derby
LDDLL
Goals +Goals −
Home0.71.7
Away1.02.0
Total0.81.8

Comparison

75%
Form
25%
64%
Attack
36%
60%
Defence
40%
66%
Poisson
34%
80%
Head to head
20%
62%
Goals
38%
67%
Total
32%

Head to head

02.05.2026ChampionshipDerby1:2Sheffield Utd
01.11.2025ChampionshipSheffield Utd1:3Derby
01.02.2025ChampionshipDerby0:1Sheffield Utd
21.09.2024ChampionshipSheffield Utd1:0Derby
29.07.2023Friendlies ClubsDerby1:3Sheffield Utd
15.01.2022ChampionshipDerby2:0Sheffield Utd
25.09.2021ChampionshipSheffield Utd1:0Derby
24.08.2021League CupSheffield Utd2:1Derby
01.09.2020Friendlies ClubsDerby0:2Sheffield Utd
26.12.2018ChampionshipSheffield Utd3:1Derby

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Swansea1172216:8+823
2 West Ham1164130:12+1822
3 Middlesbrough1164122:16+622
4 Birmingham1155120:11+920
5 West Brom1162315:12+320
6 Stoke City1161418:16+219
7 Wolves1153319:16+318
8 Southampton1163221:10+1117
9 QPR1145215:12+317
10 Blackburn1143417:16+115
11 Sheffield Utd1143415:14+115
12 Millwall1143418:18015
13 Portsmouth1143414:14015
14 Wrexham1135315:16-114
15 Bolton1142515:18-314
16 Bristol City1142512:15-314
17 Charlton1135310:15-514
18 Lincoln113359:19-1012
19 Cardiff1125418:17+111
20 Watford1132610:19-911
21 Norwich1130817:21-49
22 Burnley1115516:21-58
23 Derby111379:20-116
24 Preston111199:24-154

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+