Manchester City vs Brighton prediction

England – Premier LeagueEngland – Premier League · Regular Season – 9
Manchester CityManchester City
17:00
BrightonBrighton
31.10.2026 17:00 · Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Probabilities

1 · 26%X · 29%2 · 45%
Pred.: Brighton to winCorrect score: 1:2Expected goals: 4.22 (1.97 – 2.24)

Predictions by market

1X2Brighton to win1 26%X 29%2 45%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 21%Over 79%Odds –
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 23%Yes 77%Odds –
Double chanceBrighton not to lose1X 55%12 71%X2 74%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Brighton1 31%X 32%2 37%Odds –

Match preview

Brighton are favourites away from home with a 45% chance to win, against 26% for Manchester City and 29% for a draw. At home Manchester City score 2.8 goals per game on average, while Brighton score 3.3 away. The model expects about 4.2 goals in total. In their last five league games Manchester City have won 5 and Brighton 4. Our pick: Brighton to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 79%, both teams to score: 77%.

Form (last 5)

Manchester City
WWWWW
Goals +Goals −
Home2.81.5
Away2.70.3
Total2.71.0
Brighton
DWWWW
Goals +Goals −
Home3.30.3
Away3.31.3
Total3.30.7

Comparison

54%
Form
46%
45%
Attack
55%
17%
Defence
83%
37%
Poisson
63%
25%
Head to head
75%
42%
Goals
58%
36%
Total
63%

Head to head

07.01.2026Premier LeagueManchester City1:1Brighton
31.08.2025Premier LeagueBrighton2:1Manchester City
15.03.2025Premier LeagueManchester City2:2Brighton
09.11.2024Premier LeagueBrighton2:1Manchester City
25.04.2024Premier LeagueBrighton0:4Manchester City
21.10.2023Premier LeagueManchester City2:1Brighton
24.05.2023Premier LeagueBrighton1:1Manchester City
22.10.2022Premier LeagueManchester City3:1Brighton
20.04.2022Premier LeagueManchester City3:0Brighton
23.10.2021Premier LeagueBrighton1:4Manchester City

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Manchester City770019:7+1221
2 Arsenal760111:5+618
3 Brighton751123:5+1816
4 Chelsea741217:13+413
5 Liverpool73319:8+112
6 Brentford724113:8+510
7 Leeds72419:6+310
8 Everton72418:7+110
9 Hull City72328:7+19
10 Ipswich730411:15-49
11 Newcastle722310:14-48
12 Aston Villa72237:11-48
13 Manchester United714210:1007
14 Crystal Palace72149:17-87
15 Bournemouth71339:13-46
16 Tottenham71336:10-46
17 Coventry72056:14-86
18 Fulham71247:10-35
19 Nottingham Forest71245:9-45
20 Sunderland71156:14-84

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+