KuPS vs Gnistan prediction
Finland – Veikkausliiga · Championship Group – 30
KuPS19:00
GnistanProbabilities
Pred.: KuPS to winCorrect score: 1:0Expected goals: 2.60 (1.45 – 1.15)
Predictions by market
1X2KuPS to win1 44%X 33%2 23%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 52%Over 48%Odds –
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 48%Yes 52%Odds –
Double chanceKuPS not to lose1X 77%12 67%X2 56%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Draw1 33%X 43%2 24%Odds –
Match preview
KuPS are favourites here with a 44% chance to win, against 23% for Gnistan and 33% for a draw. At home KuPS score 1.6 goals per game on average, while Gnistan score 1.2 away. The model expects about 2.6 goals in total. In their last five league games KuPS have won 2 and Gnistan 1. Our pick: KuPS to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, both teams to score: 52%.
Form (last 5)
KuPSDWLLW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Away | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Total | 1.5 | 0.9 |
GnistanWDDLL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Away | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Total | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Comparison
58%Form42%
57%Attack43%
78%Defence22%
54%Poisson46%
85%Head to head15%
80%Goals20%
68%Total31%
Head to head
| 08.09.2026 | Veikkausliiga | Gnistan | 1:1 | KuPS |
| 01.08.2026 | Veikkausliiga | Gnistan | 0:1 | KuPS |
| 11.04.2026 | Veikkausliiga | KuPS | 1:0 | Gnistan |
| 30.10.2025 | Veikkausliiga | KuPS | 1:1 | Gnistan |
| 27.09.2025 | Veikkausliiga | Gnistan | 0:4 | KuPS |
| 01.07.2025 | Veikkausliiga | KuPS | 6:2 | Gnistan |
| 27.04.2025 | Veikkausliiga | Gnistan | 1:2 | KuPS |
| 07.07.2024 | Veikkausliiga | KuPS | 3:1 | Gnistan |
| 19.05.2024 | Veikkausliiga | Gnistan | 0:0 | KuPS |
| 20.03.2021 | Suomen Cup | KuPS | 5:0 | Gnistan |
Standings
Veikkausliiga
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -26 | 14 |
Champion Group
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Turku | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | +14 | 52 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +21 | 51 |
| 3 | KuPS | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | +17 | 51 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | +3 | 42 |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | -2 | 40 |
| 6 | VPS | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+