FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils prediction
Latvia – Virsliga · Regular Season – 34
FS Jelgava14:00
BFC DaugavpilsProbabilities
Pred.: BFC Daugavpils to winCorrect score: 0:1Expected goals: 2.50 (1.10 – 1.40)
Predictions by market
1X2BFC Daugavpils to win1 19%X 35%2 46%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 54%Over 46%Odds –
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 50%Yes 50%Odds –
Double chanceBFC Daugavpils not to lose1X 54%12 65%X2 81%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Draw1 24%X 44%2 32%Odds –
Match preview
BFC Daugavpils are favourites away from home with a 46% chance to win, against 19% for FS Jelgava and 35% for a draw. At home FS Jelgava score 0.8 goals per game on average, while BFC Daugavpils score 1.2 away. The model expects about 2.5 goals in total. In their last five league games FS Jelgava have won 0 and BFC Daugavpils 2. Our pick: BFC Daugavpils to win, likely score 0:1. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, both teams to score: 50%.
Form (last 5)
FS JelgavaLDLLL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Away | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Total | 1.0 | 1.7 |
BFC DaugavpilsDLDWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Away | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Total | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Comparison
11%Form89%
25%Attack75%
36%Defence64%
32%Poisson68%
15%Head to head85%
25%Goals75%
24%Total76%
Head to head
| 01.08.2026 | Virsliga | BFC Daugavpils | 2:1 | FS Jelgava |
| 31.05.2026 | Virsliga | FS Jelgava | 1:1 | BFC Daugavpils |
| 16.04.2026 | Virsliga | BFC Daugavpils | 1:0 | FS Jelgava |
| 18.10.2025 | Virsliga | FS Jelgava | 0:0 | BFC Daugavpils |
| 27.07.2025 | Virsliga | BFC Daugavpils | 2:0 | FS Jelgava |
| 25.05.2025 | Virsliga | BFC Daugavpils | 1:0 | FS Jelgava |
| 10.04.2025 | Virsliga | FS Jelgava | 4:1 | BFC Daugavpils |
| 01.09.2024 | Virsliga | FS Jelgava | 0:0 | BFC Daugavpils |
| 21.06.2024 | Virsliga | BFC Daugavpils | 3:0 | FS Jelgava |
| 03.05.2024 | Virsliga | BFC Daugavpils | 1:0 | FS Jelgava |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 33 | 26 | 5 | 2 | +57 | 83 |
| 2 |  Riga | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | +59 | 79 |
| 3 |  Auda | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 64 |
| 4 |  FK Liepaja | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 46 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | -15 | 38 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -22 | 32 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -31 | 29 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -21 | 24 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | -48 | 18 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+