Estoril vs Moreirense prediction

Portugal – Primeira LigaPortugal – Primeira Liga · Regular Season – 9
EstorilEstoril
17:30
MoreirenseMoreirense
25.10.2026 17:30 · Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Probabilities

1 · 44%X · 27%2 · 29%
Pred.: Estoril to winCorrect score: 1:0Expected goals: 2.62 (1.54 – 1.09)

Predictions by market

1X2Estoril to win1 44%X 27%2 29%Odds 1.83
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 51%Over 49%Odds 2.00
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 48%Yes 52%Odds 1.75
Double chanceNo draw1X 71%12 73%X2 56%Odds 1.28
First halfFirst half: Draw1 35%X 43%2 22%Odds 2.30

Odds: Bet365

Match preview

Estoril are favourites here with a 44% chance to win, against 29% for Moreirense and 27% for a draw. At home Estoril score 0.5 goals per game on average, while Moreirense score 0.8 away. The model expects about 2.6 goals in total. In their last five league games Estoril have won 0 and Moreirense 1. Our pick: Estoril to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, both teams to score: 52%.

Form (last 5)

Estoril
LDLLL
Goals +Goals −
Home0.51.3
Away0.51.8
Total0.51.5
Moreirense
LLWDL
Goals +Goals −
Home1.32.0
Away0.81.8
Total1.01.9

Comparison

20%
Form
80%
38%
Attack
63%
56%
Defence
44%
51%
Poisson
49%
25%
Head to head
75%
44%
Goals
56%
39%
Total
61%

Head to head

20.04.2026Primeira LigaMoreirense1:0Estoril
07.12.2025Primeira LigaEstoril3:3Moreirense
11.05.2025Primeira LigaMoreirense2:2Estoril
28.12.2024Primeira LigaEstoril2:2Moreirense
18.05.2024Primeira LigaMoreirense2:1Estoril
13.01.2024Primeira LigaEstoril1:3Moreirense
07.05.2022Primeira LigaEstoril1:0Moreirense
28.12.2021Primeira LigaMoreirense1:0Estoril
12.02.2018Primeira LigaMoreirense1:2Estoril
10.09.2017Primeira LigaEstoril0:2Moreirense

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 FC Porto880020:4+1624
2 Benfica861124:7+1719
3 Sporting CP853020:9+1118
4 Santa Clara853012:4+818
5 Arouca842211:7+414
6 GIL Vicente84228:6+214
7 Academico Viseu842211:10+114
8 Alverca832313:12+111
9 SC Braga83239:10-111
10 Estrela824214:15-110
11 Maritimo82249:14-58
12 Moreirense82248:15-78
13 Famalicao814310:11-17
14 Rio Ave82158:17-97
15 Vitória SC81255:10-55
16 Nacional81169:18-94
17 Casa Pia81163:17-144
18 Estoril80264:12-82

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+