Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Germany – BundesligaGermany – Bundesliga · Regular Season – 8
Bayern MünchenBayern München
19:30
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
31.10.2026 19:30 · Allianz Arena, Munich

Probabilities

1 · 65%X · 25%2 · 10%
Pred.: Bayern München to winCorrect score: 2:1Expected goals: 3.91 (2.88 – 1.04)

Predictions by market

1X2Bayern München to win1 65%X 25%2 10%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 25%Over 75%Odds –
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 39%Yes 61%Odds –
Double chanceBayern München not to lose1X 90%12 75%X2 35%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Bayern München1 57%X 30%2 13%Odds –

Match preview

Bayern München are favourites here with a 65% chance to win, against 10% for Borussia Dortmund and 25% for a draw. At home Bayern München score 6.0 goals per game on average, while Borussia Dortmund score 1.3 away. The model expects about 3.9 goals in total. In their last five league games Bayern München have won 3 and Borussia Dortmund 3. Our pick: Bayern München to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 75%, both teams to score: 61%.

Form (last 5)

Bayern München
DWWDW
Goals +Goals −
Home6.00.7
Away1.31.0
Total3.70.8
Borussia Dortmund
WWWDD
Goals +Goals −
Home2.30.7
Away1.30.7
Total1.80.7

Comparison

50%
Form
50%
65%
Attack
35%
50%
Defence
50%
74%
Poisson
26%
85%
Head to head
15%
59%
Goals
41%
63%
Total
36%

Head to head

22.08.2026Super CupBorussia Dortmund1:2Bayern München
28.02.2026BundesligaBorussia Dortmund2:3Bayern München
18.10.2025BundesligaBayern München2:1Borussia Dortmund
12.04.2025BundesligaBayern München2:2Borussia Dortmund
30.11.2024BundesligaBorussia Dortmund1:1Bayern München
30.03.2024BundesligaBayern Munich0:2Borussia Dortmund
04.11.2023BundesligaBorussia Dortmund0:4Bayern Munich
01.04.2023BundesligaBayern Munich4:2Borussia Dortmund
08.10.2022BundesligaBorussia Dortmund2:2Bayern Munich
23.04.2022BundesligaBayern Munich3:1Borussia Dortmund

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Bayern München642022:5+1714
2 Borussia Dortmund642011:4+714
3 SC Freiburg641115:6+913
4 Bayer Leverkusen641116:9+713
5 FSV Mainz 05631214:10+410
6 SV Elversberg631212:11+110
7 RB Leipzig630316:11+59
8 Werder Bremen623112:1209
9 Hamburger SV63036:15-99
10 FC Augsburg622216:12+48
11 Eintracht Frankfurt622210:16-68
12 1. FC Köln62138:11-37
13 VfB Stuttgart62048:10-26
14 1899 Hoffenheim620411:14-36
15 FC Schalke 0461234:7-35
16 SC Paderborn 0761235:9-45
17 Union Berlin61235:17-125
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach60068:20-120

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+