Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars prediction
Wales – FAW Championship · South – 13
Baglan Dragons21:30
Treowen StarsProbabilities
Pred.: Baglan Dragons to winCorrect score: 2:1Expected goals: 3.65 (1.80 – 1.85)
Predictions by market
1X2Baglan Dragons to win1 37%X 26%2 37%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 29%Over 71%Odds –
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 30%Yes 70%Odds –
Double chanceNo draw1X 63%12 74%X2 63%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Draw1 32%X 35%2 33%Odds –
Match preview
Baglan Dragons are favourites here with a 37% chance to win, against 37% for Treowen Stars and 26% for a draw. At home Baglan Dragons score 1.2 goals per game on average, while Treowen Stars score 2.2 away. The model expects about 3.7 goals in total. In their last five league games Baglan Dragons have won 2 and Treowen Stars 1. Our pick: Baglan Dragons to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, both teams to score: 70%.
Form (last 5)
Baglan DragonsWLLWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Away | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Total | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Treowen StarsWDLLL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Away | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Total | 1.9 | 2.1 |
Comparison
64%Form36%
54%Attack46%
63%Defence37%
44%Poisson56%
0%Head to head100%
33%Goals67%
51%Total48%
Head to head
| 17.03.2026 | FAW Championship | Treowen Stars | 4:1 | Baglan Dragons |
| 24.10.2025 | FAW Championship | Baglan Dragons | 3:4 | Treowen Stars |
Standings
South
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 |  Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+