Derry City vs Dundalk prediction
Ireland – Premier Division · Regular Season – 35
Derry City21:45
DundalkProbabilities
Pred.: Derry City to winCorrect score: 1:0Expected goals: 2.70 (1.63 – 1.07)
Predictions by market
1X2Derry City to win1 50%X 27%2 23%Odds 1.75
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 49%Over 51%Odds –
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 47%Yes 53%Odds 1.55
Double chanceDerry City not to lose1X 77%12 73%X2 50%Odds 1.22
First halfFirst half: Draw1 37%X 42%2 21%Odds 2.40
Odds: William Hill
Match preview
Derry City are favourites here with a 50% chance to win, against 23% for Dundalk and 27% for a draw. At home Derry City score 1.7 goals per game on average, while Dundalk score 1.5 away. The model expects about 2.7 goals in total. In their last five league games Derry City have won 2 and Dundalk 0. Our pick: Derry City to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, both teams to score: 53%.
Form (last 5)
Derry CityDWDWL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Away | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Total | 1.4 | 1.3 |
DundalkDLLLD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Away | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Total | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Comparison
80%Form20%
58%Attack42%
61%Defence39%
58%Poisson42%
62%Head to head38%
58%Goals42%
62%Total37%
Head to head
| 06.09.2026 | FAI Cup | Derry City | 4:2 | Dundalk |
| 29.05.2026 | Premier Division | Dundalk | 2:1 | Derry City |
| 10.04.2026 | Premier Division | Dundalk | 2:2 | Derry City |
| 13.02.2026 | Premier Division | Derry City | 2:2 | Dundalk |
| 18.10.2024 | Premier Division | Dundalk | 0:2 | Derry City |
| 09.08.2024 | Premier Division | Derry City | 1:1 | Dundalk |
| 31.05.2024 | Premier Division | Dundalk | 0:0 | Derry City |
| 05.04.2024 | Premier Division | Derry City | 4:1 | Dundalk |
| 01.09.2023 | Premier Division | Dundalk | 1:3 | Derry City |
| 15.05.2023 | Premier Division | Derry City | 3:0 | Dundalk |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | +19 | 65 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +19 | 62 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +25 | 59 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | +2 | 46 |
| 5 | Derry City | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | +2 | 44 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | -5 | 42 |
| 7 |  Galway United | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | -5 | 41 |
| 8 |  Waterford | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | -10 | 37 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -13 | 37 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -34 | 24 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+