Casa Pia vs Sporting CP prediction

Portugal – Primeira LigaPortugal – Primeira Liga · Regular Season – 10
Casa PiaCasa Pia
22:15
Sporting CPSporting CP
30.10.2026 22:15 · , Rio Maior

Probabilities

1 · 4%X · 25%2 · 71%
Pred.: Sporting CP to winCorrect score: 0:2Expected goals: 3.55 (0.65 – 2.90)

Predictions by market

1X2Sporting CP to win1 4%X 25%2 71%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 31%Over 69%Odds –
BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 55%Yes 45%Odds –
Double chanceSporting CP not to lose1X 29%12 75%X2 96%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Sporting CP1 8%X 29%2 63%Odds –

Match preview

Sporting CP are favourites away from home with a 71% chance to win, against 4% for Casa Pia and 25% for a draw. At home Casa Pia score 0.3 goals per game on average, while Sporting CP score 2.5 away. The model expects about 3.6 goals in total. In their last five league games Casa Pia have won 1 and Sporting CP 3. Our pick: Sporting CP to win, likely score 0:2. Over 2.5 goals: 69%, both teams to score: 45%.

Form (last 5)

Casa Pia
LDLWL
Goals +Goals −
Home0.33.3
Away0.51.0
Total0.42.1
Sporting CP
WWDDW
Goals +Goals −
Home2.51.3
Away2.51.0
Total2.51.1

Comparison

27%
Form
73%
20%
Attack
80%
36%
Defence
64%
3%
Poisson
97%
0%
Head to head
100%
5%
Goals
95%
18%
Total
81%

Head to head

16.01.2026Primeira LigaSporting CP3:0Casa Pia
08.08.2025Primeira LigaCasa Pia0:2Sporting CP
09.03.2025Primeira LigaCasa Pia1:3Sporting CP
05.10.2024Primeira LigaSporting CP2:0Casa Pia
29.01.2024Primeira LigaSporting CP8:0Casa Pia
18.08.2023Primeira LigaCasa Pia1:2Sporting CP
09.04.2023Primeira LigaCasa Pia3:4Sporting CP
22.10.2022Primeira LigaSporting CP3:1Casa Pia
22.12.2021Taça de PortugalCasa Pia1:2Sporting CP

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 FC Porto880020:4+1624
2 Benfica861124:7+1719
3 Sporting CP853020:9+1118
4 Santa Clara853012:4+818
5 Arouca842211:7+414
6 GIL Vicente84228:6+214
7 Academico Viseu842211:10+114
8 Alverca832313:12+111
9 SC Braga83239:10-111
10 Estrela824214:15-110
11 Maritimo82249:14-58
12 Moreirense82248:15-78
13 Famalicao814310:11-17
14 Rio Ave82158:17-97
15 Vitória SC81255:10-55
16 Nacional81169:18-94
17 Casa Pia81163:17-144
18 Estoril80264:12-82

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+