Atlas vs Puebla prediction
Mexico – Liga MX · Apertura – 14
Atlas01:00
PueblaProbabilities
Pred.: Atlas to winCorrect score: 1:0Expected goals: 2.51 (1.49 – 1.03)
Predictions by market
1X2Atlas to win1 48%X 28%2 24%Odds 1.73
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 54%Over 46%Odds 1.95
BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 50%Yes 50%Odds 1.95
Double chanceAtlas not to lose1X 76%12 72%X2 52%Odds 1.18
First halfFirst half: Draw1 35%X 44%2 21%Odds 2.25
Odds: Bet365
Match preview
Atlas are favourites here with a 48% chance to win, against 24% for Puebla and 28% for a draw. At home Atlas score 1.0 goals per game on average, while Puebla score 0.9 away. The model expects about 2.5 goals in total. In their last five league games Atlas have won 2 and Puebla 0. Our pick: Atlas to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, both teams to score: 50%.
Form (last 5)
AtlasLDWDW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Away | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Total | 1.6 | 1.5 |
PueblaLDLDD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Away | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Total | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Comparison
73%Form27%
82%Attack18%
31%Defence69%
40%Poisson60%
80%Head to head20%
57%Goals43%
60%Total39%
Head to head
| 10.07.2026 | Friendlies Clubs | Atlas | 3:4 | Puebla |
| 10.01.2026 | Liga MX | Atlas | 1:0 | Puebla |
| 12.07.2025 | Liga MX | Puebla | 2:3 | Atlas |
| 16.02.2025 | Liga MX | Atlas | 3:2 | Puebla |
| 20.07.2024 | Liga MX | Puebla | 1:2 | Atlas |
| 09.03.2024 | Liga MX | Puebla | 2:2 | Atlas |
| 29.09.2023 | Liga MX | Atlas | 2:3 | Puebla |
| 18.03.2023 | Liga MX | Puebla | 0:4 | Atlas |
| 21.08.2022 | Liga MX | Atlas | 1:1 | Puebla |
| 12.02.2022 | Liga MX | Puebla | 1:1 | Atlas |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 | Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 21 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Club Queretaro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 |  Leon | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Monterrey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Santos Laguna | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Club Tijuana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. – Pumas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Puebla | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 |  CF Pachuca | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -23 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+